Scenario analyses of the future energy systems provide a useful tool for identifying policy measures and actions that are required to transform our energy systems in a sustainable direction. Scenario analyses can give an overview of the different possible actions to reach a set goal while also analysing the effect of policy instruments. Instead of only focusing on a single technology or instrument, a scenario gives an insight into the correlation between different instruments and offers a holistic approach to understanding the possible development to reach a set goal.
Ea Energy Analyses has extensive experience in developing scenario analyses on many different levels, from the EU level to scenarios for a single municipality. We have for instance prepared analyses for the Danish Commission on Climate Change Policy, the European Parliament, the Baltic Development Forum and the Nordic Council of Ministers.
The list of projects below illustrates the types of projects we are working on.
As part of the Indonesia-Denmark Energy Partnership Programme (INDODEPP), the Danish Energy Agency finances The Sustainable Province Initiative (SPI), which aims to accelerate renewable energy adoption in Indonesian..
Ea has supported the Mexican National Institute on Ecology and Climate Change (INECC) with modelling activities and capacity building, focusing on the energy system model Balmorel. After signing..
In the DK2020 project municipalities pledge to develop and implement climate action plans that meet the targets of the Paris Agreement. Scenarios for reducing greenhouse gases are an..
The list of projects below illustrates the types of projects we have been working on.
As part of an analysis for Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners (CIP), Ea has done an estimate of the green transition of the European energy system by setting up various..
The independent environmental organisation Green Transition Denmark has published a report (in Danish) on energy within the planetary boundaries titled “Ren energi – indenfor planetære grænser 2040”. The..
For Danish organisation Green Power Denmark, Ea carried out a model-based analysis of the future electricity system and the security of supply in Denmark. The analysis focused on..
In 2012, Copenhagen Municipality published the climate plan KBH 2025, which shows the direction for reductions of carbon emissions in Copenhagen, with a goal of having the city..
Green Power Denmark has published “Elpris Outlook 2023” (electricity price outlook), which was also issued in 2018, 2019, and 2021. The electricity outlook is a recurrent publication from..
Along with 45 other municipalities, Holbæk Municipality has taken part in the second phase of the DK2020 project. With DK2020 the municipalities commit to develop and implement climate..
The West Nusa Tenggara (NTB) province, with main islands Lombok and Sumbawa, pledged a course of having 60% renewable energy in Lombok’s electricity system by 2030, 100% renewable..
China aims to peak their carbon emissions by 2030, and to reach carbon neutrality by 2060. To achieve this, a transformation of energy infrastructure, planning and regulation is..
Greenpeace Nordic has a goal of getting a marked reduction in the number of cattle and pigs in the agricultural industry. Therefore, they asked Ea Energy Analyses to..
Historically, the wastewater treatment in Aarhus has taken place on a number of smaller plants, but to optimise the wastewater structure in the Aarhus area, it has been..
In 2012, Copenhagen Municipality published the climate plan “KBH 2025”, showing the path to reduction of carbon emissions in Copenhagen with the target that the city should be..
In the project Scenario analyses for the future supply of district heating in the capital area (FFH50) analyses of a series of scenarios on the development of the..
IVL Swedish Environmental Institute has developed a model called Tidstegen for analysis of energy consumption in buildings and to calculate the climate effects of changing the consumption. The..
In this project Ea Energy Analyses participated in a pre-feasibility study on whether investing in a pit thermal energy storage (PTES) in Roskilde would be financially attractive. The..
For the Greenlandic supply company Nukissiorfiit, Ea Energy Analyses has investigated whether there is an economic advantage in integrating large batteries in Maniitsoq and Uummannaq to replace parts..
As a part of the project “The future supply of district heating in the capital area 2050” (FFH50), Ea Energy Analyses has done calculations on scenarios for the..
The Nordic Clean Energy Scenarios project identified technological solutions and developed energy scenarios on how the Nordic energy sector can achieve carbon neutrality and how this implicates various..
Along with some of the world’s greatest geothermal and hydropower potential, Indonesia possesses abundant resources of solar, wind and bioenergy. However, in the last five years the renewable..
In May 2018 the network cooperation “Energi på Tværs” developed a joint strategic energy plan for the municipalities in the Capital Region, along with four surrounding municipalities (EPT33)...
The green transition creates new conditions for the economy of and demand for gas storage. On one hand, a shift away from the use of gas is happening,..
With the Strategic Climate and Energy Plan from 2019, Roskilde Municipality has set a number of climate and energy goals, which in several respects are more ambitious than..
In this project, Ea Energy Analyses aided Region Syddanmark (administrative region covering southern Jutland and Fyn) in preparing a climate strategy, which explored possible actions the region and..
The Hainan Province in the South China Sea has a growing energy demand, and currently relies mainly on non-renewable energy sources. The Chinese government has chosen the region..
In the spring of 2019, Energifonden started the project “Phasing out natural gas for indoor heating”. The Danish Parliament jointly agreed on an energy agreement in June 2018,..
Electrification is increasingly seen as a crucial prerequisite for achieving the Danish climate ambitions of at least 55% renewable energy in 2030 and independence of fossil fuels in..
The GRIDSOL project aims to provide secure, clean and efficient electricity by combining primary renewable energy sources and technologies under an advanced control system. GRIDSOL will allow increasing..
Ea Energy Analyses has developed three Energy Outlook reports covering the Indonesian provinces of North Sulawesi, Gorontalo, South Kalimantan and Riau. Each province is found to have a large potential..
The Danish government cooperates with Indonesia on energy planning, renewables integration and energy efficiency, in order to assist Indonesia in moving towards a more sustainable future energy system...
Aarhus Municipality actively works to reduce the carbon footprint of the city. The target is to become carbon neutral already by 2030, and towards 2050 the energy system..
As part of the engagement between Denmark and Indonesia under the Strategic Sector Cooperation, the Danish Energy Agency and the National Energy Council chose Lombok as a pilot..
The use of electricity is increasing rapidly in Vietnam – and the supply is today primarily based on coal. In a number of projects, energy scenarios for Vietnam..
In a recent report for the European Commission, Ea Energy Analyses investigated the potential for offshore wind in the Baltic Sea together with COWI and Thema Consulting group..
In this project Ea Energy Analyses undertook an analysis of the role that natural gas historically has played in the Danish and European energy systems on behalf of..
Ea Energy Analyses has analysed a number of measures to significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions in Denmark by 2030 as a part of the technical background material for..
On behalf of the Faroese power company SEV, the project undertook a number of analyses of the Faroese electricity system. The project outlined economic paths for reaching a..
Indonesia and Denmark are cooperating through an Environmental Support Programme (ESP), where the third phase ran from 2013 to 2017. The overarching objective of ESP3 is to support..
Baltic Energy Technology Perspectives (BENTE) is a research collaboration between the leading research institutions from the Baltic countries, the Nordic research team and the Nordic Energy Research. The..
The vision of ProjectZero is to make the Sønderborg area CO2 neutral in 2029 at the latest, with a milestone of reducing the emissions of CO2 by 75% in 2025...
The natural gas usage in Denmark has been declining in the past 15 years, and it is considered likely that the decline will continue. In this project, Ea..
Today, Nuuk, the capital of Greenland, is supplied with electricity from the hydropower plant in Buksefjorden, which is located 56 km southeast of the city. The hydropower plant..
Ea Energy Analyses was involved in an initiative on planning of renewable energy integration in the Vietnamese electricity sector within a cooperation framework between Vietnam and the Danish..
Mexico has ambitious goals in terms of expansion of clean energy within the electricity sector and reducing national CO2 emissions. The objective of this project was to strengthen the..
Denmark has a long-term goal to be independent of fossil fuels by 2050. This has consequences for the transport sector, which is primarily based on oil. At the..
In January 2014, the municipality of Høje-Taastrup initiated the project “Høje-Taastrup Going Green” with financial support from the Danish Energy Agency for strategic energy planning. The aim of..
Ea Energy Analyses conducted an analysis on behalf of the Danish Oil Industry Association, concerning future fuel consumption and CO2 emissions within the transportation sector. Scenarios towards 2035 for..
Ea Energy Analyses assisted the Danish Energy Agency in preparing the “Guide to analysis of system changes and scenario analyses”. The guide is part of the Danish Energy..
Find information about one of our projects in Türkiye here.