Energy consumption and CO2 emission of the transport sector towards 2035

Ea Energy Analyses has conducted an analysis on behalf of the Danish Oil Industry Association, concerning future fuel consumption and CO2 emissions within the transportation sector.


Scenarios towards 2035 for the energy consumption of the Danish transport sector has been updated and compared with the basis for the government’s climate plan presented in August 2013. The analysis shows that the CO2 emission will be lower than previous expected. The reduction is primarily due to more energy-efficient vehicles.


Furthermore, the economic consequences of the scenario in 2020 was examined. According to the government’s Climate Plan, by 2020 there will be a shortfall of approx. 4 million tonnes in order to achieve the goal of 40% reduction. If the results from this analysis are taken into account, the deficit will be reduced to approx. 2 million. tonnes of CO2 in 2020. This provides a socio-economic saving of about 1400 million kr. in 2020.


The scenario used in the project was an updated edition of an earlier analysis Scenarios for energy consumption in the Danish transport sector


The project ran from December 2013 to March 2014



Last update 17-Jul-2015

Further information:



Transportsektorens energiforbrug og CO2 emission frem mod 2035
(Report in Danish)


Contact Hans-Henrik Lindboe



Helge Ørsted Pedersen



Ea Energy Analyses Gammeltorv 8, 6th floor1457 Copenhagen KDenmark Tel work+45 60 39 17 16 Fax +45 33 32 16 61

GEO: 55.675932, 12.575096